Markets / Entertainment

🎬 Entertainment Markets

156 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest
Will the Super Mario Bros 2 movie get 70% critics score or higher on RT?
21.37%
Market YES
79%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 23.02% +5 pts
50/100
The market predicts a low chance of the Super Mario Bros 2 movie scoring 70% or higher with critics.
A significant theme or plot point in the next James Bond movie will be stochastic terrorism?
22%
Market YES
78%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 27% +5 pts
40/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 40/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.
Will the eventual Best Picture winner also win Best Director at the 2026 Oscars?
77.02%
Market YES
23%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 72.02% -5 pts
55/100
There's a strong likelihood the Best Picture winner will also win Best Director at the 2026 Oscars.
Will "The Secret Agent" win an Oscar?
1%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 6% +5 pts
50/100
Low probability for 'The Secret Agent' to win an Oscar.
Will MODOK be added to Marvel Rivals by the end of 2026?
33.15%
Market YES
67%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 38.15% +5 pts
55/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 55/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$50 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?
0.6%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.6% +5 pts
50/100
Market indicates low likelihood of Netflix closing below $50 this week.
Will someone say “Fuck Ice” And/Or “Free Palestine” at the Oscars?
28.79%
Market YES
71%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $3K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 49.04% +5 pts
55/100
There's a nearly even chance someone will say these phrases at the Oscars.
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $70-$80 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?
8.5%
Market YES
92%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 13.5% +5 pts
50/100
Low probability for Netflix to close between $70-$80 this week.
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $90-$100 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?
60.5%
Market YES
40%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 55.5% -5 pts
55/100
Pulse verdict: YES — confidence 55/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $110-$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?
6.5%
Market YES
94%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 11.5% +5 pts
50/100
Low probability for Netflix to close between $110-$120 this week.
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$140 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?
0.5%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.5% +5 pts
50/100
Market strongly favors Netflix closing below $140 this week.
Will video-creating AIs make Hollywood movies significantly cheaper to make by 2033?
76.98%
Market YES
23%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 72.26% -5 pts
45/100
There's a 77.26% chance that video-creating AIs will lower Hollywood movie costs by 2033.
Will a Lord of the Rings movie written by Stephen Colbert actually release by the end of 2030?
32.71%
Market YES
67%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 34.82% +5 pts
45/100
The market suggests a low likelihood of a Colbert-written LOTR movie by 2030.
Will Nettspend surpass 2m monthly listeners in the week following the release of his upcoming album "Early Life Crisis"?
56.96%
Market YES
43%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 51.96% -5 pts
50/100
Nettspend has a 56.96% chance of exceeding 2m monthly listeners post-album release.
Will Netflix remain the most popular video streaming platform at the end of 2026?
83.91%
Market YES
16%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 69.73% -5 pts
50/100
Netflix has a high probability of remaining the top streaming platform by 2026.
Will Netflix remain the most popular video streaming platform at the end of 2027?
62.5%
Market YES
38%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 57.5% -5 pts
40/100
Netflix has a 62.5% chance of being the top streaming platform by 2027.
Will Hamnet be the Oscars 2026 Best Picture Winner?
1.01%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 6.01% +5 pts
50/100
Hamnet is highly unlikely to win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars.
Will there be a major movie about OpenClaw by EOY 2027?
10.31%
Market YES
90%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 15.31% +5 pts
45/100
Low probability for a major movie about OpenClaw by EOY 2027.
Will Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man be Netflix’s #1 film in its opening week?
85.65%
Market YES
14%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 80.65% -5 pts
50/100
High probability for Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man to be Netflix’s #1 film in its opening week.
Midjourney is credited by name in a movie which is nominated for an Oscar before 4/2028
28.22%
Market YES
72%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 33.22% +5 pts
40/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 40/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.
Will there be any future celebrities in tonight's movie? (March 9 2026)
17.53%
Market YES
82%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 22.53% +5 pts
55/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 55/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.
Will there be a tie at the 2027 Oscars?
9.58%
Market YES
90%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 14.69% +5 pts
40/100
The market indicates a low probability of a tie at the 2027 Oscars.
2030 Oscars or earlier will have a movie nominated with significant portion playing in a US migrant detention center
96.8%
Market YES
3%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 91.8% -5 pts
40/100
High probability for a film set in a US migrant detention center to be nominated by 2030 Oscars.
Will Timothee Chalamet win an Oscar before 2030?
37%
Market YES
63%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 42% +5 pts
45/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 45/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.
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