Markets / Geopolitics

🌍 Geopolitics Markets

3,140 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest
Will A.J. Ewart win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 7.5% +7 pts
50/100
A.J. Ewart has a low chance of winning the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open.
Did Russia kill Jeffrey Epstein?
8.5%
Market YES
92%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 15.5% +7 pts
40/100
The market shows a low probability that Russia killed Jeffrey Epstein.
Will any of the following western countries go to war with each other before 2030?
8.14%
Market YES
92%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 15.14% +7 pts
45/100
Low probability of war between western countries before 2030.
A nuclear weapon is used in any conflict before January 1, 2029
23.18%
Market YES
77%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 30.18% +7 pts
40/100
Market shows low probability for nuclear weapon use before 2029.
Civil War in Iran in 2026?
25.91%
Market YES
74%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 34% +7 pts
50/100
The market suggests a low likelihood of civil war in Iran by 2026.
Will Israel attack South Africa before end of 2026
5.69%
Market YES
94%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 25.92% +7 pts
55/100
Low probability of an Israeli attack on South Africa by 2026.
Will China's total Eu exports for 14 months ending July 2026 exceed 220000 kg?
27.26%
Market YES
73%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 34.26% +7 pts
50/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 50/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.
Will China's total Eu exports for 14 months ending July 2026 exceed 140000 kg?
27.26%
Market YES
73%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 34.26% +7 pts
50/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 50/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.
Will China's total Eu exports for 14 months ending April 2026 exceed 320000 kg?
27.26%
Market YES
73%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 34.26% +7 pts
50/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 50/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.
Will Valve announce new hardware prices in March 2026?
8%
Market YES
92%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 26% +7 pts
50/100
Market leans towards NO for Valve announcing new hardware prices in March 2026.
Will China's total Eu exports for 14 months ending April 2026 exceed 140000 kg?
32.16%
Market YES
68%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 39.16% +7 pts
50/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 50/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.
Will China's total Eu exports for 14 months ending April 2026 exceed 220000 kg?
20.78%
Market YES
79%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 27.78% +7 pts
50/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 50/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.
Games Total: O/U 2.5
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $3K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 93.55% -6 pts
65/100
Market strongly favors over 2.5 games in this geopolitical context.
Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by March 31?
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $337K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 94% -6 pts
80/100
The market predicts a 100% chance of Iran striking the Ruwais Refinery by March 31.
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 18, 2026?
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $2M
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 94% -6 pts
75/100
The market overwhelmingly predicts military action by Iran against Israel on March 18, 2026.
Delaware State Hornets vs. Morgan State Bears: O/U 142.5
99.95%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 93.95% -6 pts
60/100
Market heavily favors the 'YES' outcome for the O/U of 142.5.
Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 44% -6 pts
90/100
The market shows a balanced view, but the NO side is undervalued by 6 points.
Map Handicap: URSA (-1.5) vs Omega (+1.5)
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 94% -6 pts
65/100
The market strongly favors URSA, indicating high confidence in their success.
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $95K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 44% -6 pts
80/100
Market shows a balanced outlook on FURIA vs NRG with a slight edge for the NO side.
Will Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by March 31?
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $337K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 94% -6 pts
80/100
Market predicts a high likelihood of an Iranian strike on the Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by March 31.
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $11K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 93.95% -6 pts
65/100
The market strongly favors TS to win against Vici Gaming.
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $5K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 94% -6 pts
65/100
The market strongly favors TY to win against BetBoom Team with a significant probability gap.
Games Total: O/U 2.5
49.5%
Market YES
51%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $3K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 43.5% -6 pts
85/100
The market leans slightly towards fewer than 2.5 games being played.
Spread: UMBC Retrievers (-1.5)
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $163K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 42.45% -6 pts
80/100
The market favors a NO outcome for the UMBC Retrievers spread.
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