Market shows a slight lean towards a US strike on Kharg Island oil infrastructure.
The prediction market indicates a 56.3% probability for a US attempt to strike Kharg Island's oil infrastructure before April 15, 2026, suggesting a cautious expectation of military action. The Pulse AI probability is slightly lower at 51.3%, reflecting uncertainty in the data. With a confidence level of 55 out of 100 and an edge of -5, the market is deemed too close for a definitive assessment.