Muchova vs. Swiatek: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

The market favors over 8.5 games in Set 1 with a strong probability.

The prediction market indicates a 72.5% probability for Set 1 to have over 8.5 games, aligning closely with the Pulse AI's estimate of 71%. With a confidence level of 60/100 and an edge of -1.5, the market appears to be fairly priced, suggesting balanced expectations for this matchup.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors over 8.5 games.
• 2 The probabilities from the market and AI are closely aligned.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in predictions.
• 4 The edge suggests the market is accurately priced.
• 5 Time to expiry is ample, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.

This market refers to the tennis match between Karolina Muchova and Iga Swiatek in the BNP Paribas Open, scheduled for March 11 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official WTA results.