Will Kurt Wedekind win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?

Kurt Wedekind has a low chance of winning the 2026 Maryland Republican primary.

The prediction market indicates a 3% probability of Kurt Wedekind winning the Republican primary, with a strong consensus against his candidacy at 97%. The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability of 7.5%, but overall confidence remains low at 55 out of 100.

• 1 Market consensus strongly favors a NO outcome for Wedekind.
• 2 Current market probability is closely aligned with Pulse AI predictions.
• 3 Confidence level suggests moderate uncertainty in the market.
• 4 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts in dynamics.
• 5 Liquidity appears stable, reflecting a well-informed betting environment.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.