Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on March 8?

Market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 58-59°F in Chicago on March 8.

The prediction market shows a definitive NO at 100%, indicating a strong consensus against temperatures falling within the specified range. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment with a 99% probability of NO, suggesting minimal expectation for temperatures to reach 58-59°F on that date.

• 1 Current market sentiment overwhelmingly favors temperatures below 58°F.
• 2 Historical weather data suggests low likelihood for this temperature range in early March.
• 3 Market appears to be efficiently priced with minimal edge detected.
• 4 Confidence level indicates strong belief in the NO outcome.
• 5 No imminent time pressure as expiry date is unknown.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.