Will the highest temperature in Munich be 3°C on March 29?

The market strongly predicts Munich's temperature won't reach 3°C on March 29.

Current market sentiment indicates a high confidence that the temperature in Munich will not reach 3°C on March 29, with a 100% probability assigned to the NO outcome. The AI model aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting a low likelihood of the YES outcome at 1%. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.

• 1 Market probability strongly favors NO at 100%.
• 2 AI probability closely aligns with market at 99% for NO.
• 3 Confidence level is high at 80 out of 100.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.
• 5 Time to expiry is currently unknown, adding uncertainty.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.