Will the highest temperature in Munich be 4°C on March 29?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 4°C in Munich on March 29.

Current market probabilities indicate a 0% chance of the highest temperature reaching 4°C, suggesting a strong consensus that it will be warmer. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this view, assigning a 1% probability to the YES outcome. With an edge of 1, the market appears to be fairly priced, reflecting a high level of confidence in the NO outcome.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors NO at 100%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely aligns with market sentiment at 99% for NO.
• 3 High confidence level of 80/100 suggests strong market conviction.
• 4 Edge of 1 indicates fair pricing in the current market.
• 5 No imminent expiry adds stability to the current predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.