Ethereum Up or Down on March 19?

Market strongly favors Ethereum going down by March 19.

The prediction market indicates a high probability of Ethereum declining, with a 89.5% chance of a 'NO' outcome. The AI model aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting a slight increase in the likelihood of Ethereum going up but still favoring a downtrend. With only 3 hours until expiry, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors Ethereum's decline.
• 2 The probability of a price increase is low at 11.5%.
• 3 Market pricing suggests no significant upcoming catalysts.
• 4 Time pressure is high with only 3 hours until expiry.
• 5 Confidence level in the market's prediction is relatively strong at 80/100.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Mar 18 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Mar 19 '26 12:00 ET candle.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Mar 18 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Mar 19 '26 12:00 ET candle.

If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.