Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Market indicates low likelihood of FDV exceeding $1B after launch.

The prediction market shows a 94% probability that the fully diluted valuation (FDV) will not exceed $1 billion one day post-launch. With a confidence level of 75 out of 100, the market appears to be fairly priced, suggesting that participants do not foresee significant demand or valuation growth immediately after launch.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans heavily towards a NO outcome.
• 2 Historical data suggests low FDV growth in early post-launch periods.
• 3 Liquidity in the market appears stable, with no extreme fluctuations.
• 4 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential market changes.
• 5 No significant edge detected, indicating fair pricing by participants.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Extended's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.

The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".