MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Market predicts low likelihood of MegaETH exceeding $3B market cap after launch.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against MegaETH achieving a market cap over $3B one day post-launch, with a 92.75% probability for NO. Both the market and AI probabilities suggest a similar outlook, indicating that participants believe the valuation is unlikely to be met shortly after launch.

• 1 Current sentiment heavily favors the NO outcome.
• 2 Market appears to be fairly priced with an edge of 2.
• 3 Confidence level is relatively high at 80/100.
• 4 Time to expiry is substantial at 2747 hours, allowing for potential market shifts.
• 5 AI probability slightly higher than market probability, indicating some divergence in sentiment.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MegaETH's token is greater than $3,000,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MegaETH doesn't launch a token by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."