Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?

Market indicates low probability for FDV above $1.5B post-launch.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against the FDV exceeding $1.5B one day after launch, with a 93.5% probability for 'NO'. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability, suggesting that market participants are generally skeptical about the project's immediate valuation.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly negative towards high FDV.
• 2 The probability estimates from both market and AI are closely aligned.
• 3 Historical trends suggest new crypto projects often struggle to achieve high valuations quickly.
• 4 Liquidity in this market appears stable, reflecting cautious investor behavior.
• 5 Time until expiry allows for potential shifts in sentiment post-launch.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.

The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".