GTA VI released before June 2026?

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for GTA VI's release before June 2026.

Current market probabilities indicate a 97.1% likelihood that GTA VI will not be released before June 2026. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with slightly higher probabilities for a YES outcome. With a confidence level of 80/100 and a time to expiry of 1504 hours, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a slight divergence but still leans towards NO.
• 3 The edge of 0.5 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 80/100 indicates strong market belief in the NO outcome.
• 5 Time to expiry of 1504 hours allows for potential updates affecting the market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.

The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.