US forces enter Iran by March 7?

Market indicates no expectation of US forces entering Iran by March 7.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against the likelihood of US military action in Iran by the specified date. With a market probability of 0% for a YES outcome and a high confidence level, participants appear to believe that such an event is highly unlikely in the near term.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a NO outcome.
• 2 The probability of US forces entering Iran is assessed at just 1% by AI.
• 3 Market pricing suggests a well-informed consensus among participants.
• 4 High confidence level indicates strong belief in the NO scenario.
• 5 No imminent time pressure noted for this market.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.

US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.

Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.