Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on March 28?

Market predicts Taipei's temperature will not reach 22°C on March 28.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Taipei reaching 22°C on March 28, with a probability of 87.5% for 'NO'. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability, suggesting a well-balanced market with moderate confidence levels.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a 'NO' outcome.
• 2 Weather forecasts and historical data influence predictions.
• 3 Market probability aligns closely with AI estimates.
• 4 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty about the outcome.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to the market.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.