Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on March 23?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 11°C in Warsaw on March 23.

With a market probability of 96.85% for NO, there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not reach 11°C. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with slightly higher probabilities for YES. The market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 11°C.
• 2 The probability gap between market and AI suggests some uncertainty.
• 3 Weather forecasts are critical in shaping market expectations.
• 4 The market's confidence level indicates moderate certainty in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to any potential changes.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.