Markets / Politics

🗳️ Politics Markets

2,843 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

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Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2.25%
Market YES
98%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $174K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.2% +4.5 pts
60/100
Market strongly favors Ronaldo Caiado not finishing second in the election.
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0.75%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $592K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 14.8% +4.5 pts
60/100
Low market probability suggests Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior is unlikely to finish second.
Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0.25%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $17K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.4% +4.5 pts
60/100
Market suggests Bolsonaro is unlikely to finish second in the 2026 election.
Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0.25%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $22K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.65% +4.5 pts
60/100
Low market probability suggests Michelle Bolsonaro is unlikely to finish second.
Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0.85%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $65K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.8% +4.5 pts
60/100
Market indicates low probability of Tarcisio de Freitas finishing second in the election.
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0.15%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $17K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.65% +4.5 pts
60/100
Eduardo Bolsonaro is unlikely to finish second in the 2026 election, per market data.
Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
6%
Market YES
94%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $623K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 7.75% +4.5 pts
60/100
Market indicates low likelihood of Haddad finishing second in the 2026 election.
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
23.5%
Market YES
77%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $22K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 19% +4.5 pts
60/100
Lula is unlikely to finish second in the 2026 election, per current market odds.
Will the Liberals (L) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
0.25%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $11K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.8% +4.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors the Liberals not winning the most seats in 2026.
Will Scottish Labour win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?
0.3%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $41K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.7% +4.5 pts
60/100
Scottish Labour is unlikely to win the most seats in 2026, with low market confidence.
Will Alba Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?
0.15%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $16K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 7.35% +4.5 pts
60/100
The Alba Party is unlikely to win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election.
Will Scottish Liberal Democrats win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?
0.85%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $107K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.65% +4.5 pts
60/100
The Scottish Liberal Democrats are unlikely to win the most seats in 2026.
Will Scottish Conservatives win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?
0.25%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $5K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.25% +4.5 pts
60/100
Scottish Conservatives are unlikely to win the most seats in 2026.
Will Kurt Wedekind win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?
2.75%
Market YES
97%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 7.5% +4.5 pts
55/100
Kurt Wedekind has a low chance of winning the 2026 Maryland Republican primary.
Will Georges Képénékian win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $2.7M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.65% +4.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Képénékian in the 2026 election.
Will Anaïs Belouassa-Cherifi win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $2.7M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.65% +4.5 pts
60/100
Low market probability for Anaïs Belouassa-Cherifi to win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election.
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
9.35%
Market YES
91%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $2.2M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 14.6% +4.5 pts
60/100
The market indicates a low probability for AfD winning the most seats in Berlin's 2026 elections.
Will Alexandre Dupalais win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $71K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.65% +4.5 pts
60/100
Alexandre Dupalais has a very low chance of winning the 2026 Lyon mayoral election.
Will the Green Party (MP) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
0.4%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $87K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 6.1% +4.5 pts
60/100
The Green Party is unlikely to win the most seats in Sweden's 2026 election.
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
10.5%
Market YES
90%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $8K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 20.5% +4.5 pts
60/100
Linke is unlikely to win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin elections.
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
9.85%
Market YES
90%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $285K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 13.55% +4.5 pts
60/100
SPD has a low probability of winning the most seats in the 2026 Berlin elections.
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
4.25%
Market YES
96%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $373K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 9.25% +4.5 pts
60/100
The market indicates a low probability for the Moderate Party to win the most seats in 2026.
Will the Left Party (V) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
0.25%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $10K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.65% +4.5 pts
60/100
The Left Party is unlikely to win the most seats in the 2026 election.
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
5.55%
Market YES
94%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $501K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 9% +4.5 pts
60/100
The Sweden Democrats are unlikely to win the most seats in the 2026 election.
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